Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 1.456242 1.530741 1.607503 1.692643 1.784595 1.881085 1.990224
2026-02-08 1.285548 1.388816 1.499637 1.627950 1.773112 1.933053 2.123727
2026-02-15 1.178446 1.300220 1.435105 1.596733 1.786669 2.004719 2.276823
2026-02-22 1.108605 1.244546 1.399137 1.589842 1.821447 2.097196 2.455933
2026-03-01 1.045545 1.190332 1.358554 1.571140 1.836602 2.162743 2.602939
2026-03-08 0.974876 1.121762 1.295245 1.518613 1.803705 2.162873 2.662425
2026-03-15 0.935176 1.087568 1.270539 1.510631 1.824033 2.229356 2.811405
2026-03-22 0.922363 1.084924 1.283591 1.549718 1.905841 2.380183 3.086772
2026-03-29 0.895205 1.062562 1.270013 1.552602 1.938553 2.465430 3.275191
2026-04-05 0.873660 1.045964 1.262463 1.562185 1.979783 2.563940 3.490530
2026-04-12 0.848897 1.023918 1.246439 1.558896 2.002005 2.635584 3.670026
2026-04-19 0.817382 0.991727 1.215472 1.533228 1.990329 2.655717 3.768441
2026-04-26 0.782887 0.955847 1.180041 1.502342 1.973217 2.672248 3.872855
2026-05-03 0.745844 0.915522 1.137356 1.459648 1.936915 2.657817 3.925938
2026-05-10 0.718674 0.887425 1.110160 1.437599 1.929931 2.688407 4.060030
2026-05-17 0.699645 0.869524 1.096088 1.433500 1.949472 2.762179 4.279052
2026-05-24 0.678157 0.847430 1.075183 1.418145 1.950298 2.804860 4.445249
2026-05-31 0.648327 0.812906 1.035565 1.373190 1.901901 2.761457 4.441599
2026-06-07 0.632521 0.797232 1.021963 1.366412 1.913598 2.820597 4.645469
2026-06-14 0.630254 0.800218 1.034901 1.400144 1.992438 3.002318 5.123470
2026-06-21 0.618705 0.789703 1.027857 1.402645 2.019685 3.094131 5.426071
2026-06-28 0.609469 0.782120 1.024713 1.410902 2.056830 3.206857 5.792543
2026-07-05 0.597583 0.770350 1.014921 1.408073 2.074589 3.284318 6.090322